Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.430707 4.006305 4.664490 5.476220 6.455051 7.603099 9.060050
2025-02-02 2.644533 3.396967 4.358180 5.691442 7.516970 9.964312 13.553890
2025-02-09 2.259582 3.089267 4.229980 5.944038 8.509125 12.295440 18.481185
2025-02-16 1.953171 2.802821 4.040246 6.022413 9.211660 14.312566 23.451503
2025-02-23 1.734017 2.592331 3.905288 6.128213 9.940565 16.493390 29.272291
2025-03-02 1.529305 2.365939 3.699766 6.067366 10.358692 18.217934 34.759255
2025-03-09 1.396461 2.230562 3.613002 6.179672 11.086300 20.647763 42.362981
2025-03-16 1.258360 2.065651 3.449095 6.119988 11.470967 22.492657 49.319596
2025-03-23 1.147766 1.932271 3.319012 6.096216 11.913201 24.550441 57.466482
2025-03-30 1.040278 1.790574 3.153642 5.973999 12.122536 26.144445 65.033939
2025-04-06 0.975346 1.717833 3.105705 6.077534 12.837262 29.078136 77.320247
2025-04-13 0.890891 1.598882 2.953645 5.938193 12.972381 30.635576 86.293889
2025-04-20 0.858548 1.585837 3.028589 6.350339 14.628353 36.928555 114.270063
2025-04-27 0.809142 1.535412 3.025878 6.604756 16.016929 43.184213 146.950106
2025-05-04 0.769109 1.497519 3.041932 6.904828 17.616708 50.746356 190.452580
2025-05-11 0.717793 1.428822 2.979381 6.997982 18.674457 57.092054 234.501309
2025-05-18 0.674477 1.371445 2.933237 7.123788 19.874202 64.507373 290.738063
2025-05-25 0.623623 1.291013 2.821426 7.051428 20.444994 69.947508 342.708652
2025-06-01 0.590081 1.245437 2.786236 7.184998 21.737953 78.892396 425.346238
2025-06-08 0.549004 1.177582 2.686635 7.114006 22.319934 85.254954 500.310547
2025-06-15 0.514209 1.120549 2.606492 7.085734 23.056818 92.769532 594.487673
2025-06-22 0.477422 1.054720 2.494985 6.940433 23.322505 98.301609 682.579472
2025-06-29 0.455687 1.023252 2.469794 7.063519 24.683722 110.173048 846.413032